A Baseball Weblog

Saturday, February 26, 2011

On spring records

I figured that with live baseball starting up again this weekend (!!), now would be a good time to pull out this graph:


   

That's the relationship between spring winning percentage and regular season winning percentage (with data going back to 2003).  It's not very strong.  Yes, some of the best teams had good springs and some of the worst teams had bad springs, but if you look at the overall picture, it means nothing.  But you knew that already.  These teams deviated the most from their spring training winning percentage:






TeamYearSpring Winning%Winning%Difference
Dodgers2004.364.574.210
Phillies2004.323.531.208
Red Sox2006.328.531.203
Rangers2010.362.556.194
Dodgers2009.405.586.181





Indians2010.732.426-.306
Royals2006.667.383-.284
Marlins2006.732.481-.251
Mariners2004.638.389-.249
Brewers2009.734.494-.240


Data are from ESPN.com.